GMC.Capital
0xcd70d5645a5fb93f2b4edee005e256d6d0222168
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $138.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,397
- Open portfolio
- $179.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,397
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.44at 0.334Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$59.96at 0.125Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$52.33at 0.269Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$42.57at 0.179Solana Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$42.31at 0.196Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 21:46 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 10-07 21:26 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6459999624 | $5.08 |
| 10-07 21:26 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.08 |
| 10-07 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6299999682 | $5.15 |
| 10-07 21:26 | Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? | BUY | 0.5999999775 | $5.33 |
| 10-07 21:26 | Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.5599999749 | $5.36 |
| 10-07 21:26 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999649 | $5.49 |
| 10-07 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 20:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5478991597 | $13.04 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5399999843 | $13.04 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5499999856 | $13.40 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5299999842 | $13.75 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 9? | BUY | 0.5299999922 | $14.23 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.5299999941 | $14.35 |