PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcd442a35f586f8eff29e2a4fc4a4ad3fe69a6994

Realised P&L
$-2.09
Volume
$528.44
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$10.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8900.875$4.78$0.08
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0200.019$4.74$0.12
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0100.007$1.36$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:53Will XRP reach $1.40 in September?BUY0.6799999003$1.91
09-18 09:27Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.01$1.94
08-26 10:32Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.02$4.86
08-11 10:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999917$4.80
08-11 08:52Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.8899998224$4.86
07-29 11:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7619999355$9.61
06-19 07:51Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.5699999728$4.82
06-18 11:28Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.5299999846$4.82
06-17 08:10Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7599999874$9.65
06-16 23:50Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.65$6.76
06-16 09:19Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6599999808$4.82
06-16 09:00Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6599999808$4.82
06-11 15:14Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6999999855$4.82