0xcd442a35f586f8eff29e2a4fc4a4ad3fe69a6994
- Realised P&L
- $-2.09
- Volume
- $528.44
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $10.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.875 | $4.78 | −$0.08 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.019 | $4.74 | −$0.12 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $1.36 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.77at 0.673Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$3.53at 0.583Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$3.50at 0.663Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$2.79at 0.779Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.97at 0.713Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:53 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in September? | BUY | 0.6799999003 | $1.91 |
| 09-18 09:27 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.94 |
| 08-26 10:32 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.86 |
| 08-11 10:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999917 | $4.80 |
| 08-11 08:52 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899998224 | $4.86 |
| 07-29 11:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7619999355 | $9.61 |
| 06-19 07:51 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.5699999728 | $4.82 |
| 06-18 11:28 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5299999846 | $4.82 |
| 06-17 08:10 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7599999874 | $9.65 |
| 06-16 23:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.76 |
| 06-16 09:19 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6599999808 | $4.82 |
| 06-16 09:00 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6599999808 | $4.82 |
| 06-11 15:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6999999855 | $4.82 |