Clicia
0xcd41ef87fe56f7aa04363e18650ca85f5e3d8ebb
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $222.1k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.972 | $2.4k | +$378.75 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.845 | $464.07 | +$282.83 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.845 | $443.63 | +$244.13 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No | 0.241 | 0.255 | $51.00 | +$2.71 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.030 | $30.50 | −$109.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.258Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
- +$995.63at 0.274Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
- +$892.09at 0.076Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
- +$762.82at 0.748Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$563.31at 0.052Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 15:28 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.241426 | $48.29 |
| 09-20 02:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $323.40 |
| 08-30 14:30 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 08-29 14:07 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74570961 | $745.71 |
| 08-29 03:49 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6446190217 | $284.53 |
| 08-19 17:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $249.90 |
| 08-15 03:50 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.0865346535 | $25.96 |
| 04-17 12:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.73 | $511.00 |
| 04-17 03:40 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | SELL | 0.1200105 | $240.02 |
| 04-12 14:34 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.555 | $1.1k |
| 04-12 14:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.8777962 | $877.80 |
| 04-07 02:22 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.15 |
| 04-07 02:18 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.998 | $248.50 |
| 04-07 02:18 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.1k |
| 04-07 02:18 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.51 |