PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Clicia

0xcd41ef87fe56f7aa04363e18650ca85f5e3d8ebb

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$222.1k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.972$2.4k+$378.75
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.3300.845$464.07+$282.83
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3800.845$443.63+$244.13
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.2410.255$51.00+$2.71
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yes0.1400.030$30.50−$109.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 15:28Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?BUY0.241426$48.29
09-20 02:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.66$323.40
08-30 14:30US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.14$140.00
08-29 14:07Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?SELL0.74570961$745.71
08-29 03:49Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6446190217$284.53
08-19 17:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.49$249.90
08-15 03:50Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?SELL0.0865346535$25.96
04-17 12:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.73$511.00
04-17 03:40Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.1200105$240.02
04-12 14:34Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.555$1.1k
04-12 14:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8777962$877.80
04-07 02:22Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?SELL0.001$2.15
04-07 02:18Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?BUY0.998$248.50
04-07 02:18Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?BUY0.998$2.1k
04-07 02:18Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?SELL0.001$0.51