PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCD374032cA63bBcD68577a828CFb785BBdfb5CE9-1768762489494

0xcd374032ca63bbcd68577a828cfb785bbdfb5ce9

Realised P&L
$52.11
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.962$1.0k+$118.06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8200.970$118.23+$18.23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2500.080$64.00$136.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7800.935$59.94+$9.94
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$200.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$200.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.4400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$90.00
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$100.00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.4400.000$0.00$100.00
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · No0.7270.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$400.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$100.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 19:13Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699999991$100.00
07-08 19:13Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999999$100.00
07-08 19:13Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
07-08 19:12Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
07-03 02:39Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5299999995$200.00
07-02 17:00Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7649999997$100.00
07-01 06:36Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2799999981$100.00
06-28 14:53Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.6299999982$100.00
06-28 14:53Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999998$400.00
06-28 14:52Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
06-28 14:51Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4399999993$200.00
06-27 16:36Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.8599999993$500.00
06-27 16:35Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
06-25 03:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7599999927$100.00
06-25 03:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.6019625931$100.00