PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lyf4ever

0xcd2fb0db9fda1a0ce73cc5f6f32f3946588cfe3e

Realised P&L
$161.56
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$21.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · No0.0800.952$12.37+$11.33
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.1800.049$1.96−$5.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.0700.038$1.74−$1.42
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1150.019$1.52−$7.68
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1300.035$1.38−$3.82
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.4100.095$1.06−$3.53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1500.055$0.55−$0.95
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes0.2000.070$0.35−$0.65
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1500.030$0.21−$0.84
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 17:54Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.41$4.60
03-01 17:44Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
03-01 17:44Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
03-01 17:29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.52$52.00
03-01 17:27Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?BUY0.15$15.00
03-01 17:27Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.24$24.00
03-01 17:26Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.51$20.40
02-28 19:26Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.7899999935$14.62
02-28 19:25Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.79$4.74
02-28 19:22Khamenei seen in public by March 3?BUY0.85$34.00
02-28 19:21Khamenei seen in public by March 2?BUY0.86$34.40
02-28 19:21Khamenei seen in public by March 1?BUY0.9$12.60
02-28 19:21Khamenei seen in public by February 28?BUY0.969$19.38
02-24 04:23Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
02-24 04:23Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?BUY0.1078920985$10.00