PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lyf4ever

0xcd2fb0db9fda1a0ce73cc5f6f32f3946588cfe3e

Realised P&L
$160.01
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$32.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · No0.0800.949$12.34+$11.30
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.1800.160$6.40$0.80
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1150.063$5.04$4.16
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.4100.255$2.86$1.74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.0700.051$2.30$0.86
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1300.045$1.80$3.40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1500.125$1.25$0.25
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$0.37$0.62
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1500.038$0.27$0.78
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 17:54Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.41$4.60
03-01 17:44Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
03-01 17:44Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
03-01 17:29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.52$52.00
03-01 17:27Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?BUY0.15$15.00
03-01 17:27Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.24$24.00
03-01 17:26Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.51$20.40
02-28 19:26Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.7899999935$14.62
02-28 19:25Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.79$4.74
02-28 19:22Khamenei seen in public by March 3?BUY0.85$34.00
02-28 19:21Khamenei seen in public by March 2?BUY0.86$34.40
02-28 19:21Khamenei seen in public by March 1?BUY0.9$12.60
02-28 19:21Khamenei seen in public by February 28?BUY0.969$19.38
02-24 04:23Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
02-24 04:23Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?BUY0.1078920985$10.00