PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

daojones

0xcd2913732146e7ce2bc12fc9a524e932abd5fd24

Realised P&L
$-8.6k
Volume
$1.26M
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.018$976.49$560.83
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0820.081$686.18$13.83
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0420.066$310.34+$110.40
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0060.004$150.00$49.94
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0250.034$133.99+$34.00
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.007$125.00$25.00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$10.71$139.29
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 30–35 million views on Friday at noon? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$5.97
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on December 19? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$75.45
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00$120.00
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on November 16? · No0.5600.000$0.00$111.98
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 10? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m? · Yes0.9800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 06:17Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0219810494$199.83
08-23 17:10Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0819999996$200.00
08-23 07:01Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.004$50.00
08-23 07:01Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.004$50.00
08-23 06:58Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0839999996$200.00
08-23 06:57Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.039$8.17
07-16 01:22Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.238$17.59
07-16 01:21Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.2379999995$350.00
06-04 03:27Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.5185703084$396.81
06-01 06:39Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.356$363.22
06-01 06:38Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0213537107$100.00
05-28 01:00Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.285$387.70
05-28 00:59Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.1459764875$137.27
05-28 00:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999997$200.00
05-18 22:55Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.227$213.46