daojones
0xcd2913732146e7ce2bc12fc9a524e932abd5fd24
- Realised P&L
- $-8.6k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 389
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded389
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.055Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$485.03at 0.794Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?
- +$210.08at 0.923Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 27?
- +$207.63at 0.942Warriors vs. Spurs
- +$200.13at 0.873Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 06:17 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0219810494 | $199.83 |
| 08-23 17:10 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0819999996 | $200.00 |
| 08-23 07:01 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.004 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 07:01 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.004 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 06:58 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0839999996 | $200.00 |
| 08-23 06:57 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.039 | $8.17 |
| 07-16 01:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.238 | $17.59 |
| 07-16 01:21 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2379999995 | $350.00 |
| 06-04 03:27 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.5185703084 | $396.81 |
| 06-01 06:39 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.356 | $363.22 |
| 06-01 06:38 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0213537107 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 01:00 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.285 | $387.70 |
| 05-28 00:59 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1459764875 | $137.27 |
| 05-28 00:59 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 05-18 22:55 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.227 | $213.46 |