PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcD23debc78ee0927bFADF60a018a21CBF8EECAd2-1772615155575

0xcd23debc78ee0927bfadf60a018a21cbf8eecad2

Realised P&L
$-254.71
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$84.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5060.425$33.57$6.43
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4190.440$31.43+$1.43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7100.695$9.79$0.21
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.6500.445$6.85$3.15
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$2.50$7.50
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.34$4.66
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.0360.001$0.07$4.93
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$20.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.2200.000$0.00$138.49
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00$20.00
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas? · No0.1350.000$0.00$15.00
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? · No0.0730.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$155.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$5.00
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta · Pablo Carreno Busta0.2500.000$0.00$11.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:44Will Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
09-14 09:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4699999944$30.00
08-24 08:03Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?BUY0.2579999745$5.00
08-19 07:46Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0074459671$5.00
08-19 07:45Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?BUY0.5579999895$20.00
08-16 22:07EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5BUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-16 10:31Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3939999905$20.00
08-15 21:47Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?BUY0.6109999804$10.00
08-11 22:05Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?BUY0.0575131978$5.00
08-11 11:19Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.2598440769$10.00
08-07 07:39Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?BUY0.4117646865$10.00
08-07 07:38Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.3029999819$10.00
08-07 07:37Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?BUY0.0730446207$10.00
08-07 07:37Will Rodri join Barcelona?BUY0.0989999901$10.00
08-06 17:55Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.985$14.07