PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Hermann2017

0xcd0a91504a62d0da06c3c491c8dc70d23a32cb8a

Realised P&L
$112.29
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$139.73

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? · No0.9590.950$34.35−$0.36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B · FURIA0.5600.535$17.30−$0.81
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.795$12.17+$0.23
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.765$11.67+$0.69
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7140.745$10.91+$0.45
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? · No0.8000.815$10.05+$0.18
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Team Vitality0.4400.435$7.77−$0.09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7980.775$7.23−$0.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.6110.633$5.91+$0.21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.6500.685$5.55+$0.28
W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru · Juliette Mazzoni0.9870.962$4.86−$0.13
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? · No0.7100.715$3.87+$0.03
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? · No0.5700.625$3.83+$0.34
Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescu · Antonia Ruzic0.0000.275$3.34+$3.34
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs LEGION (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Team Lynx0.3100.160$0.90−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 18:52Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca AndreescuBUY0.4599999971$3.14
10-15 18:52Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca AndreescuBUY0.47999994$2.56
10-15 18:31W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca BulgaruBUY0.9869999992$4.99
10-15 17:39Dota 2: Team Lynx vs LEGION (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.3099999572$1.74
10-15 17:24M25 Austin, TX: Andrew Fenty vs Shunsuke MitsuiBUY0.5399999828$3.14
10-15 17:24M25 Austin, TX: Andrew Fenty vs Shunsuke MitsuiBUY0.5299999375$3.14
10-15 14:21Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$4.84
10-15 13:40Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?SELL0.84$4.96
10-15 12:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7979999798$7.44
10-15 11:42Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.8$9.87
10-15 11:04Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group ABUY0.7599999945$10.97
10-15 11:00Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)BUY0.4599999735$4.86
10-15 10:05Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?BUY0.9593886002$34.71
10-15 07:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6109999937$5.70
10-15 05:52Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999869$11.94