PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xccf393a100384295c579f8996cafa4ba6bc37627

Realised P&L
$-9.41
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$20.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5150.572$10.64+$1.05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No0.9860.990$2.67+$0.01
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9910.994$2.06+$0.01
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7700.835$1.67+$0.13
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9880.998$1.09+$0.01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9920.997$1.00+$0.00
Colorado vs. Northwestern: 1H O/U 17.5 · Over0.9980.951$0.96$0.05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7370.449$0.54$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 02:35Colorado vs. Northwestern: 1H O/U 17.5BUY0.9979990613$1.01
09-19 14:46Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.9859999133$2.66
09-16 16:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.9919995238$1.00
09-16 06:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$2.57
09-16 03:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.990999998$1.47
09-15 15:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5179999191$2.24
09-15 10:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9909995017$1.07
09-15 04:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$0.70
09-15 03:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$0.66
09-15 03:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$0.27
09-15 03:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$1.35
09-14 19:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9919993481$1.12
09-14 18:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8599999694$2.25
09-14 16:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9939993322$1.03
09-14 14:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5139999005$1.87