0xCCA7948309a1666AF88314aE4f0bEaba624e34d2-1768574531898
0xcca7948309a1666af88314ae4f0beaba624e34d2
- Realised P&L
- $-184.16
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.006 | $9.75 | −$10.25 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.040 | $6.08 | −$13.92 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round? · No | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) · Los Ratones | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-20.00at 0.005Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 19?
- +$-20.00at 0.005Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-20 20:13 | Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election? | BUY | 0.0601019128 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 20:12 | Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | BUY | 0.1037301967 | $20.00 |
| 01-20 00:52 | Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round? | BUY | 0.0541775551 | $20.00 |
| 01-20 00:52 | Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round? | BUY | 0.0465140618 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0049269133 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 16:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0051214291 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 17:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 17:53 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 17:52 | Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0123048958 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 17:40 | LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 16:07 | Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 14:45 | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.010570149 | $20.00 |