yannfournier
0xcc8af81bddeff8d4cec6ecb7770e7587dcc67d9c
- Realised P&L
- $191.19
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $770.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.20at 0.930Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$56.31at 0.931Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$34.03at 0.981Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
- +$22.85at 0.756Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$21.74at 0.980Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 17:41 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2451268777 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 13:18 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 13:16 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9309999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 17:15 | Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 08:23 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $75.00 |
| 10-11 08:18 | Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999935 | $75.00 |
| 10-11 08:12 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.92 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 06:54 | Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9529999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 06:54 | Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9609999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 07:07 | Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 16:59 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 19:29 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9479999996 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 19:26 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 20:06 | Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 20:01 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $20.00 |