PolyBot

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Traders

yannfournier

0xcc8af81bddeff8d4cec6ecb7770e7587dcc67d9c

Realised P&L
$264.14
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$814.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.958$99.90$0.10
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9610.993$53.71+$1.70
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7720.775$50.17+$0.17
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9800.980$50.00+$0.00
Will Alberta join the US? · No0.9800.979$49.92$0.08
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9540.958$40.17+$0.17
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Nothing0.9490.935$39.42$0.58
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9210.959$36.41+$1.41
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9640.961$34.88$0.12
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9520.991$31.20+$1.20
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? · No0.9270.956$30.92+$0.92
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9700.983$30.40+$0.40
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9640.975$30.33+$0.33
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9560.944$29.61$0.39
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6300.610$24.21$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 22:01Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7499999946$35.00
09-04 14:592026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.359999977$5.00
09-04 14:58Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9519999619$10.00
09-03 03:17Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6299999922$25.00
08-26 16:43Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.963$30.51
08-26 16:42Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.9639112875$83.77
08-26 16:40Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.964$80.67
08-20 17:33Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
08-20 17:31Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8299999978$15.00
08-20 17:28Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.04$0.75
08-18 21:13Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9099999994$15.00
08-18 21:13Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9529999971$15.00
08-10 14:15Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.36$8.92
08-08 14:52Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8499999972$15.00
08-08 14:37Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9699999997$30.00