Jac0bo3
0xcc829d525e016f22611037ab88adcccea73a36ea
- Realised P&L
- $-311.86
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $338.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 2? · Up | 0.909 | 0.952 | $167.51 | +$7.51 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 2? · Up | 0.939 | 0.999 | $161.27 | +$9.55 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.395 | $7.05 | +$2.05 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.007 | $1.76 | −$2.24 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on August 10? · Up | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$369.78 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22? · Up | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.11at 0.844Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24?
- +$96.62at 0.820Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?
- +$53.77at 0.920Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$47.16at 0.934Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28?
- +$37.61at 0.957Meta (META) Up or Down on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:51 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.9393808456 | $151.72 |
| 10-02 13:51 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.9088639198 | $160.00 |
| 10-01 14:09 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8687550078 | $69.78 |
| 10-01 13:37 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7599999973 | $44.80 |
| 10-01 13:37 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 13:36 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8218191629 | $55.00 |
| 10-01 13:35 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 13:34 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8099999959 | $14.00 |
| 10-01 13:33 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $86.00 |
| 10-01 13:29 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 13:29 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 13:29 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.9108910843 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 12:09 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:08 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 12:08 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |