jose08
0xcc8295cf79057bc99db342acd0b49489f7c43da2
- Realised P&L
- $17.82
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $36.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.650 | $29.36 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.520 | $6.66 | +$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.16at 0.952Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.65at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.40at 0.987Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.21at 0.989Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.15at 0.989Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999701 | $24.25 |
| 01-30 17:49 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $21.50 |
| 01-30 14:52 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.41 |
| 01-30 13:28 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.97 |
| 12-30 08:39 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.79 |
| 12-30 08:09 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999937 | $14.20 |
| 12-30 00:51 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $7.55 |
| 12-30 00:12 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.38 |
| 12-29 23:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.25 |
| 12-29 19:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.05 |
| 10-31 16:05 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.54 |
| 10-31 15:40 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.48 |
| 10-30 17:24 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.53 |
| 09-29 18:32 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.84 |
| 09-29 04:22 | Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.88 |