MercurioWisdom
0xcc80853f70a2a098aa050a593b18af4514ec64ae
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $135.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $251.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.182Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$770.00at 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$28.60at 0.063Will Solana reach $180 in January?
- +$14.96at 0.010Will Solana reach $210 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:48 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.15 | $163.22 |
| 10-14 18:47 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1394399957 | $78.71 |
| 10-12 23:21 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.37 |
| 09-25 15:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 05-05 20:00 | Will Solana reach $120 in May? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.25 |
| 04-20 17:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.17 |
| 04-20 17:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.0678316591 | $129.20 |
| 04-16 22:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | BUY | 0.023 | $9.82 |
| 04-16 22:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.13 |
| 04-16 22:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | BUY | 0.0452081818 | $42.89 |
| 04-16 22:49 | Will Solana reach $120 in April? | BUY | 0.045 | $69.98 |
| 04-16 22:48 | Will Solana reach $120 in April? | BUY | 0.0354590525 | $3.33 |
| 03-19 12:51 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.02 |
| 03-19 12:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.04 |
| 03-19 12:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | BUY | 0.035 | $96.53 |