PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MercurioWisdom

0xcc80853f70a2a098aa050a593b18af4514ec64ae

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$135.7k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$251.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? · Yes0.1450.135$243.71−$18.53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.002$7.50−$7.50
Will Solana dip to $30 in March? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$17.40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$950.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$233.31
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$95.00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$4.76
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$33.00
Will Solana reach $110 in April? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$9.45
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$22.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$98.97
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$12.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.6k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:48Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?BUY0.15$163.22
10-14 18:47Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?BUY0.1394399957$78.71
10-12 23:21Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?BUY0.12$6.37
09-25 15:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$15.00
05-05 20:00Will Solana reach $120 in May?BUY0.035$5.25
04-20 17:22Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?BUY0.009$4.17
04-20 17:20Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?BUY0.0678316591$129.20
04-16 22:58Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?BUY0.023$9.82
04-16 22:57Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?BUY0.024$1.13
04-16 22:57Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?BUY0.0452081818$42.89
04-16 22:49Will Solana reach $120 in April?BUY0.045$69.98
04-16 22:48Will Solana reach $120 in April?BUY0.0354590525$3.33
03-19 12:51Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.029$1.02
03-19 12:40Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?BUY0.018$2.04
03-19 12:34Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?BUY0.035$96.53