0xcC6ccA2A76A08DDaAE92CbEe471101e879540573-1768632358224
0xcc6cca2a76a08ddaae92cbee471101e879540573
- Realised P&L
- $-79.55
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $590.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.60at 0.845Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$18.24at 0.943Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
- +$17.07at 0.597Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$9.73at 0.181Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$7.82at 0.962Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 14:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999997 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 02:11 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 06:43 | Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1324998993 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 06:42 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2949998363 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 04:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2049999951 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 04:11 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 04:11 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005999997 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 04:10 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 04:10 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999927 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 04:09 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 01:07 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9405820052 | $300.00 |
| 06-22 01:00 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.987 | $234.99 |
| 06-17 21:24 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 03:34 | Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 03:34 | Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |