ThePlatypus
0xcc59158dc1f446bce484b11c26a3c8d3bec6096f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $218.9k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.226 | $3.9k | −$1.9k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.596 | 0.810 | $2.9k | +$755.36 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $647.33 | +$37.67 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.330 | 0.355 | $459.69 | +$32.37 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$764.82 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.619Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?
- +$1.1kat 0.891Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$737.91at 0.806Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$719.08at 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$570.00at 0.810Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:57 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.33 | $427.31 |
| 09-08 19:56 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.229 | $7.78 |
| 09-08 19:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.231419 | $231.42 |
| 09-08 19:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.230135906 | $137.16 |
| 09-08 19:54 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.231 | $21.02 |
| 09-08 19:54 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 07-23 13:59 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3706232006 | $536.30 |
| 07-23 13:58 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.39 | $507.00 |
| 07-23 13:58 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $224.00 |
| 07-21 22:12 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $19.86 |
| 07-21 22:11 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.3227557759 | $664.69 |
| 07-20 18:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 07-20 18:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.909 | $399.61 |
| 07-20 18:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.37 | $722.76 |
| 07-20 17:59 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.0159368353 | $7.34 |