0xcC567F71759F3Bf0A58e5fb2cfAf8f5f75D5E75F-1772473219443
0xcc567f71759f3bf0a58e5fb2cfaf8f5f75d5e75f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.82
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $315.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? · No | 0.815 | 0.825 | $116.96 | +$1.38 |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? · No | 0.841 | 0.750 | $84.00 | −$10.17 |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%? · No | 0.817 | 0.710 | $56.93 | −$8.59 |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? · No | 0.860 | 0.718 | $56.70 | −$11.21 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.021 | $0.54 | −$0.04 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.90at 0.816Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?
- +$9.34at 0.689Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
- +$8.23at 0.310Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.00at 0.600Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.86at 0.738Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 06:24 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.83 | $25.73 |
| 10-11 06:23 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.8013793103 | $29.05 |
| 10-11 06:22 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.856 | $55.19 |
| 10-11 05:40 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.8275609756 | $33.93 |
| 10-11 05:39 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 10-11 05:14 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 10-11 05:13 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-11 05:08 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.83 | $17.43 |
| 10-11 05:08 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-11 04:49 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.79 | $16.59 |
| 10-11 04:46 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.37 |
| 10-11 04:37 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.79 | $30.63 |
| 10-11 04:36 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? | SELL | 0.8707580233 | $30.66 |
| 10-10 19:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.85 | $16.15 |
| 10-10 19:01 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.919 | $16.52 |