PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa594823b16928A0dc394aBA22485Ad7e8337f854-1763524358059

0xcc438f6f730c0dfb7eb4d2c48253397081dbdc2f

Realised P&L
$-132.43
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$176.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9540.958$89.33+$0.33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.855$20.12+$0.12
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.9880.993$19.86+$0.10
Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · No0.6400.885$17.70+$4.90
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5940.440$14.80$5.20
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.9200.889$8.89$0.30
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · No0.6990.440$6.16$3.62
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? · No0.3620.000$0.00$146.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 10:57Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.64$6.40
09-22 10:44Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.64$6.40
09-21 07:10Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?BUY0.988$19.76
09-20 08:27Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.07$7.95
09-03 09:42Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 7?BUY0.82$16.40
09-03 09:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8499999787$20.00
09-03 09:14Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.953999995$89.00
07-24 14:30Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.44$4.40
07-24 14:06Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.44$8.80
07-24 06:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.0857142122$1.00
07-24 05:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.38$1.90
07-24 05:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
07-24 05:21Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70
07-24 02:33Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.7$21.00
07-24 02:30Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.7099999655$14.00