0xCc03b2e316a07912C72604c8557AB5C802b4662B-1765350997489
0xcc03b2e316a07912c72604c8557ab5c802b4662b
- Realised P&L
- $18.60
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.60at 0.865Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$47.64at 0.806Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$22.45at 0.067Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$14.20at 0.161Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?
- +$13.69at 0.343Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 20:36 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 20:34 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 06:36 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 20:06 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.53 |
| 06-23 17:03 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.8099999975 | $9.80 |
| 06-20 19:13 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 19:12 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 11:48 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 11:47 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 21:23 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 20:46 | England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 20:36 | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 19:58 | Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 06-17 18:18 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |