PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCc03b2e316a07912C72604c8557AB5C802b4662B-1765350997489

0xcc03b2e316a07912c72604c8557ab5c802b4662b

Realised P&L
$18.60
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8390.942$1.1k+$117.70
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9120.966$328.07+$18.31
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? · Yes0.2500.095$1.52−$2.48
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.62
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:59Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3699998631$1.00
07-19 20:36Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.05$1.00
07-19 20:34Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.25$5.00
06-26 06:36Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.025999975$1.00
06-25 20:06Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.56$4.53
06-23 17:03Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.8099999975$9.80
06-20 19:13Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
06-20 19:12Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
06-20 11:48Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
06-20 11:47Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.4899999951$3.00
06-17 21:23Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
06-17 20:46England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-17 20:36Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-17 19:58Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?BUY0.25$4.00
06-17 18:18Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.08$4.00