0xcC0303AfF32a899f6a92Ed7166e03719C70651Fe-1760986805985
0xcc0303aff32a899f6a92ed7166e03719c70651fe
- Realised P&L
- $-311.67
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $825.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.00at 0.590Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$5.30at 0.947Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$3.60at 0.964Xi Jinping out by June 30?
- +$-3.00at 0.700Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 04:00 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 09-23 23:58 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-22 05:15 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.206 | $1.08 |
| 09-22 05:14 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2083398 | $20.83 |
| 09-22 02:14 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 04:01 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 08-30 03:51 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 04-07 14:56 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 04-07 14:55 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 03-02 09:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 03-01 03:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.947 | $94.70 |
| 03-01 03:08 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $96.40 |
| 03-01 03:05 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 02-28 15:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 02-28 15:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |