weatherprod
0xcbd382fbd54af0b8aa51875dccf5c3dda8ed117e
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $12.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.9kat 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.6kat 0.859Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
- +$2.5kat 0.750Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 21?
- +$1.8kat 0.796Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$989.08at 0.941LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:07 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.9761295803 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 09:06 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.957586154 | $2.3k |
| 09-16 09:04 | VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify? | BUY | 0.8008299898 | $164.87 |
| 09-16 09:03 | VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify? | BUY | 0.7948932334 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 08:55 | Will ChatGPT be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9896657284 | $421.89 |
| 09-16 07:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $100.10 |
| 09-15 07:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 09-14 15:49 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.1403612296 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 15:22 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 15:18 | Will Derrick Henry finish Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 09-14 15:13 | Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | BUY | 0.0926777448 | $93.70 |
| 09-14 15:02 | Will there be 61-100 all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9443333333 | $56.66 |
| 09-14 15:01 | Will Tennessee have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.9644444444 | $43.40 |
| 09-14 15:00 | Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.7934193548 | $122.98 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will Oregon have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.7862985513 | $112.35 |