PolyBot

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Traders

0xCbCd84B159ded69e0a746254526865549f6FBC96-1762877841163

0xcbcd84b159ded69e0a746254526865549f6fbc96

Realised P&L
$-290.83
Volume
$30.6k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$52.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2640.115$35.28$45.72
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.038$10.13$39.87
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0900.025$7.08$17.92
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$31.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$35.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$44.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$20.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.2800.000$0.00$50.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$103.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.5530.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$106.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$22.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$25.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.4899999916$25.00
07-25 16:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.25$31.00
07-14 19:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.228$67.86
07-11 22:01UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2799999969$50.00
07-11 21:59Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1824999959$31.00
07-11 21:58Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699999985$106.00
07-11 20:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1759999966$40.00
06-30 20:46Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.52$319.87
06-15 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
06-15 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
06-15 11:26Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.2613577671$51.00
06-01 14:16Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.170999991$15.00
06-01 14:16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1679999976$50.00
05-06 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.5528570784$20.00
05-06 16:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.5599999989$20.00