0xCbCd84B159ded69e0a746254526865549f6FBC96-1762877841163
0xcbcd84b159ded69e0a746254526865549f6fbc96
- Realised P&L
- $-290.83
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $52.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.68at 0.380Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$121.05at 0.290US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$101.30at 0.160JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$81.59at 0.340US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$71.11at 0.360US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 16:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $31.00 |
| 07-14 19:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.228 | $67.86 |
| 07-11 22:01 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 21:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1824999959 | $31.00 |
| 07-11 21:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699999985 | $106.00 |
| 07-11 20:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1759999966 | $40.00 |
| 06-30 20:46 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $319.87 |
| 06-15 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 11:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2613577671 | $51.00 |
| 06-01 14:16 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.170999991 | $15.00 |
| 06-01 14:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999976 | $50.00 |
| 05-06 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5528570784 | $20.00 |
| 05-06 16:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |