HOG993
0xcbba64cddd05171925ffd05d8f8abd38c83fdbff
- Realised P&L
- $99.5k
- Volume
- $187.18M
- Markets traded
- 1,693
- Open portfolio
- $51.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,693
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.7kat 0.028Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$333.1kat 0.029Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$262.0kat 0.000Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$208.7kat 0.000Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$205.5kat 0.186Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:55 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.2457142857 | $17.20 |
| 10-30 15:55 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.2981698389 | $32.58 |
| 10-30 15:50 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 10-29 03:35 | Spurs vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.99 | $2.1k |
| 10-29 03:33 | Spurs vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 10-29 03:32 | Spurs vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.98 | $1.1k |
| 10-29 03:30 | Spurs vs. Jazz | SELL | 0.62 | $56.42 |
| 10-29 03:12 | Spurs vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.67 | $469.00 |
| 10-29 03:09 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.33 | $231.00 |
| 10-29 02:43 | Spurs vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.29 | $203.00 |
| 10-29 02:31 | Knicks vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.974 | $37.47 |
| 10-29 02:29 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.37 | $411.07 |
| 10-29 02:23 | Spurs vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.18 | $29.83 |
| 10-29 02:22 | Knicks vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.04 | $39.68 |
| 10-29 01:52 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.38 | $45.37 |