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Traders

HOG993

0xcbba64cddd05171925ffd05d8f8abd38c83fdbff

Realised P&L
$102.3k
Volume
$189.57M
Markets traded
1,605
Open portfolio
$47.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,605
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5000.215$17.6k$23.3k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$9.0k+$219.90
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$8.6k$219.90
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.029$2.3k+$59.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.5000.125$2.0k$6.1k
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.030$1.4k+$124.22
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.022$1.2k$292.25
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.011$866.83$1.4k
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.045$729.99+$343.76
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.007$619.16$1.7k
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.045$491.61+$188.15
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0420.015$349.18$620.75
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.030$333.20+$29.75
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.006$198.47$649.66
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.003$141.39$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 06:29Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$1.03
09-07 06:29Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$0.51
09-07 06:26Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.003$23.87
09-07 06:25Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.008$55.77
08-20 09:03Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.009$0.90
08-20 08:41Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.31$33.25
08-20 08:40Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.43$477.73
08-20 08:39Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.42$42.90
08-20 08:37Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.41$134.13
08-20 07:59Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.34$188.70
08-20 07:08Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2$40.00
08-20 07:02Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.29$4.26
08-20 06:38Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.67$831.50
08-20 06:38Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.67$93.80
08-20 06:37Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.67$357.55
Trader HOG993 · PolyBot Pro