0xcba64dd70ed00ff62da33d97675f0c0224cbcaa9
- Realised P&L
- $-188.80
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $11.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.71at 0.202Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
- +$33.88at 0.473Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$22.10at 0.420Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas
- +$21.67at 0.668Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$8.88at 0.528Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 18:26 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $8.30 |
| 05-03 18:25 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $0.85 |
| 05-03 18:24 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.662 | $5.02 |
| 05-03 18:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $9.10 |
| 05-03 09:45 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.046 | $2.04 |
| 05-03 08:22 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.41 | $6.56 |
| 05-03 08:16 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | SELL | 0.33 | $7.13 |
| 05-02 18:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3? | SELL | 0.966 | $7.88 |
| 05-02 16:14 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.4399999736 | $8.00 |
| 05-02 16:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 16:00 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 05-02 15:14 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $8.00 |
| 05-02 14:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.38 |
| 05-02 13:48 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY | 0.339999983 | $8.00 |
| 05-02 13:47 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02? | BUY | 0.719999982 | $8.00 |