PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcba64dd70ed00ff62da33d97675f0c0224cbcaa9

Realised P&L
$-188.80
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$11.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · No0.8601.000$10.53+$1.47
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2300.034$0.57$3.28
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0570.009$0.36$2.03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0180.008$0.18$0.22
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0660.001$0.02$2.72
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0560.001$0.01$1.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$15.41
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$15.21
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? · No0.3100.000$0.00$2.06
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.93
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$2.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.14
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00$1.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 18:26Will France win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.07$8.30
05-03 18:25Will France win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.071$0.85
05-03 18:24Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.662$5.02
05-03 18:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.086$9.10
05-03 09:45Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.046$2.04
05-03 08:22Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?SELL0.41$6.56
05-03 08:16Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?SELL0.33$7.13
05-02 18:15Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?SELL0.966$7.88
05-02 16:14Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.4399999736$8.00
05-02 16:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.005$1.00
05-02 16:00Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
05-02 15:14Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.5699999986$8.00
05-02 14:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?BUY0.98$6.38
05-02 13:48Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY0.339999983$8.00
05-02 13:47Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY0.719999982$8.00