PMProf
0xcb69f9d3d30a8f102267f880aed55d14e59c361e
- Realised P&L
- $-602.93
- Volume
- $243.9k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $298.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.74at 0.386Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$104.92at 0.505US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$78.12at 0.478 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$77.72at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$72.95at 0.345Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:08 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999984 | $23.00 |
| 11-01 14:07 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 14:06 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.157 | $20.91 |
| 11-01 14:06 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $13.05 |
| 10-28 14:02 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $29.70 |
| 10-28 14:00 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $31.00 |
| 10-28 14:00 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.43 |
| 10-28 13:52 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.43 |
| 10-28 13:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $29.70 |
| 10-28 13:50 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $30.43 |
| 10-25 08:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 10-25 08:56 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.034520251 | $13.20 |
| 10-25 08:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.00 |
| 10-25 08:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $20.24 |
| 10-22 08:27 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.77 |