piconecraft
0xcb65155fb70114631a969c53f53bc7a0aafd103f
- Realised P&L
- $-582.98
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $86.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.25at 0.108NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
- +$35.85at 0.215NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic
- +$35.37at 0.437NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$28.24at 0.437Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$19.81at 0.210Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 14:52 | Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | BUY | 0.969252915 | $7.94 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8299999974 | $15.82 |
| 08-21 22:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.68 | $10.08 |
| 08-17 10:18 | Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.34 | $9.08 |
| 08-17 10:16 | Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.3899999876 | $10.42 |
| 08-16 14:27 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $14.36 |
| 08-14 22:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999752 | $6.32 |
| 08-09 02:18 | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | SELL | 0.95 | $13.41 |
| 08-09 01:09 | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | BUY | 0.96 | $13.56 |
| 08-08 17:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.75 | $12.36 |
| 08-08 10:17 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | SELL | 0.179 | $1.85 |
| 08-06 20:39 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | SELL | 0.7245144033 | $7.04 |
| 08-04 19:48 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $10.92 |
| 08-03 17:07 | Will Jeff Weninger win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? | SELL | 0.992 | $8.76 |
| 08-02 18:26 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | BUY | 0.2429999292 | $2.51 |