PolyBot

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Traders

piconecraft

0xcb65155fb70114631a969c53f53bc7a0aafd103f

Realised P&L
$-582.98
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$86.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.6980.919$51.78+$12.46
Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8300.805$15.34$0.48
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes0.9690.977$8.00+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.655$7.39+$1.07
Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? · Yes0.8980.993$4.05+$0.39
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? · No0.2020.000$0.00$5.08
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · No0.9300.000$0.00$6.78
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.3790.000$0.00$26.21
Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors0.0920.000$0.00$15.66
Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Tricked0.3400.000$0.00$3.20
76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.6430.000$0.00$88.76
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers · New York Yankees0.5500.000$0.00$7.32
Qingdao Eagles vs. Shanxi Loongs · Qingdao Eagles0.6000.000$0.00$39.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 14:52Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?BUY0.969252915$7.94
08-29 21:47Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?BUY0.8299999974$15.82
08-21 22:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.68$10.08
08-17 10:18Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.34$9.08
08-17 10:16Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.3899999876$10.42
08-16 14:27Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.93$14.36
08-14 22:43Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5599999752$6.32
08-09 02:18Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$13.41
08-09 01:09Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?BUY0.96$13.56
08-08 17:54Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?SELL0.75$12.36
08-08 10:17Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?SELL0.179$1.85
08-06 20:39Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?SELL0.7245144033$7.04
08-04 19:48Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.83$10.92
08-03 17:07Will Jeff Weninger win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?SELL0.992$8.76
08-02 18:26Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?BUY0.2429999292$2.51