Thesickest
0xcb239d37d4e32efe494c1701f3d8a50b72078189
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $81.7k
- Markets traded
- 801
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded801
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.29at 0.804Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?
- +$75.63at 0.886Will DR Congo go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
- +$67.22at 0.522Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
- +$67.00at 0.756Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
- +$60.67at 0.792The Masters 2026: Round below 63
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:59 | Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 09-17 21:26 | Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.61 |
| 09-17 21:26 | Will Vian Persad win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election? | SELL | 0.997 | $12.96 |
| 09-17 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 09-17 21:23 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 21:23 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.998 | $23.04 |
| 09-17 21:22 | Will Paula Wriedt win the next Kingborough mayoral election? | SELL | 0.997 | $11.09 |
| 09-17 21:22 | Will Vincent Marissal win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 09-17 21:04 | Will SDS win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.04 |
| 09-17 21:04 | Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 21:04 | Will DF win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.997 | $25.12 |
| 09-17 19:34 | Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? | SELL | 0.994 | $49.70 |
| 09-17 19:16 | Will SDS win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 09-17 19:13 | Will David Poulin-Latulippe win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-17 19:12 | Will Mei Kang win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |