PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcb0a23499b595a3f165012380e1e4db831b42087

0xcb0a23499b595a3f165012380e1e4db831b42087

Realised P&L
$188.83
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$7.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.029$1.74−$1.26
French election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.047$1.71−$0.29
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.058$0.96−$1.04
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.0940.045$0.95−$1.05
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$0.85−$4.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5? · Yes0.0040.001$0.75−$2.25
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0350.017$0.49−$0.51
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.003$0.36−$0.64
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 4? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
First Blood in Game 2? · TEAM VISION0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 03:31San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.2$1.00
10-04 03:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?BUY0.0329999992$1.00
10-04 03:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4?BUY0.004$1.00
10-04 03:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 4?BUY0.001$2.00
10-04 03:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4?BUY0.001$2.00
10-04 03:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5?BUY0.004$3.00
09-16 06:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?BUY0.0037037037$2.00
09-16 06:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?BUY0.0013699694$2.00
08-25 23:26Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.0349999669$1.00
08-25 23:26Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.022999978$1.00
08-25 23:25Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
08-25 05:10French election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0549999746$2.00
08-25 05:08Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.006999993$1.00
08-23 08:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
08-23 08:26First Blood in Game 2?BUY0.0084033613$1.00