0xcb05740f6ad16d7c274edd85c24fb8c9104725aa
- Realised P&L
- $-51.09
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $45.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.15at 0.875Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 7?
- +$9.54at 0.893Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?
- +$3.75at 0.841Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 7?
- +$3.57at 0.847Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 8?
- +$3.57at 0.848Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.886 | $16.33 |
| 07-05 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.86 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.47 |
| 07-05 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.867 | $19.99 |
| 07-04 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4? | SELL | 0.1215962131 | $2.76 |
| 07-03 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $19.99 |
| 07-02 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.99 |
| 07-02 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2? | BUY | 0.8569892473 | $19.92 |
| 07-01 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1? | SELL | 0.8117779255 | $18.31 |
| 07-01 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.89 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.8572946237 | $19.93 |
| 06-30 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $11.20 |
| 06-30 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 06-29 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $20.00 |