0xcb02546B77875c98e213e17Ff37781d6397e05D7-1764920957809
0xcb02546b77875c98e213e17ff37781d6397e05d7
- Realised P&L
- $-226.08
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $75.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.943 | 0.959 | $37.98 | +$0.62 |
| Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.930 | $27.90 | +$4.80 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.155 | $7.75 | −$25.25 |
| Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.050 | $1.96 | −$0.07 |
| Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.95 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.278 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.78at 0.500Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$169.03at 0.500Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$31.49at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.00at 0.580US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.69at 0.706Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 01:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.09 |
| 07-07 10:19 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 07-06 09:30 | United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 07-05 16:30 | Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 05-13 13:46 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 05-13 13:46 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 03-31 06:06 | Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 07:22 | Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.4879826087 | $11.22 |
| 03-30 07:21 | Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.00 |
| 03-27 06:37 | Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.98 |
| 03-27 06:37 | Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6969565217 | $16.03 |
| 03-27 06:36 | Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 03-27 06:36 | Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1983333333 | $5.95 |
| 03-27 06:24 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.68 |
| 03-27 06:24 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | SELL | 0.735 | $6.37 |