PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107

0xcb016f2b417f98c88fc91fffe7e69d4a6b1c7dfb

Realised P&L
$78.8k
Volume
$6.45M
Markets traded
4,558
Open portfolio
$327.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,558
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9820.986$85.9k+$311.99
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9410.955$51.9k+$774.24
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9330.987$46.9k+$2.5k
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4190.559$38.3k+$9.6k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9610.990$22.0k+$639.27
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9861.000$14.4k+$188.69
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.7440.785$8.7k+$454.05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6490.445$7.4k$3.4k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.212$6.4k+$1.3k
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0960.111$6.1k+$803.25
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9340.945$5.0k+$55.22
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0290.038$2.7k+$702.83
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs0.9751.000$2.0k+$49.00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.1700.355$1.9k+$973.01
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1170.154$1.8k+$428.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:20Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.028$1.01
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0276042105$0.52
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.027$0.68
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.027$0.59
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.027$0.38
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.027$0.43
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.027$1.35
09-17 02:19Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.027$0.73
09-17 02:18Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.982$491.00
09-17 02:18Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.976$488.00
09-17 02:18Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.976$488.00
09-17 02:18Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.966$483.00
09-17 02:09San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.96$328.92
09-17 02:09San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.96$480.00
09-17 02:02Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.036$1.80