0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107
0xcb016f2b417f98c88fc91fffe7e69d4a6b1c7dfb
- Realised P&L
- $78.8k
- Volume
- $6.45M
- Markets traded
- 4,558
- Open portfolio
- $327.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,558
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.6kat 0.246Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?
- +$14.0kat 0.052Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$11.2kat 0.315Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$10.7kat 0.105Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.2kat 0.456Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:20 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.01 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0276042105 | $0.52 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.68 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.59 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.38 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.43 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.35 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.73 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.982 | $491.00 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.976 | $488.00 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.976 | $488.00 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.966 | $483.00 |
| 09-17 02:09 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.96 | $328.92 |
| 09-17 02:09 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 09-17 02:02 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.80 |