Jens4321
0xcad05d9c6c07bbe07fa8ac1b2d1832d6a3702b2b
- Realised P&L
- $-80.90
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $71.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.905 | $59.20 | +$4.25 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.580 | 0.820 | $12.72 | +$3.72 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.90 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5) · Timberwolves | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
| Spread: FK Mladá Boleslav (-1.5) · SK Sigma Olomouc | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.70 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) · Warriors | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) · SSC Napoli | 0.973 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.78at 0.570Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
- +$22.30at 0.689Ceará SC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 1.5
- +$12.03at 0.480Split: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nerman Fatic
- +$11.97at 0.540Split: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Daniel Michalski
- +$10.73at 0.550Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $9.00 |
| 09-30 10:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-30 10:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-09 21:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999988 | $54.95 |
| 07-01 16:57 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July? | BUY | 0.9619999993 | $53.14 |
| 06-04 17:52 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in June? | BUY | 0.955 | $50.00 |
| 04-17 20:27 | Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $10.99 |
| 04-17 20:13 | Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9612537537 | $24.61 |
| 04-12 16:30 | Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) | BUY | 0.972094275 | $39.88 |
| 04-10 09:42 | Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9129366575 | $25.85 |
| 04-06 21:46 | Spread: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $24.60 |
| 04-06 21:25 | Spread: El Masry SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.40 |
| 04-06 13:55 | Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $3.99 |
| 04-06 13:45 | Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9473542339 | $19.92 |
| 04-02 20:04 | Spread: Viking FK (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8699999805 | $16.92 |