PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jens4321

0xcad05d9c6c07bbe07fa8ac1b2d1832d6a3702b2b

Realised P&L
$-80.90
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$71.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.905$59.20+$4.25
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? · Up0.5800.820$12.72+$3.72
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? · Up0.5900.000$0.00−$5.90
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5) · Timberwolves0.4600.000$0.00−$25.50
Spread: FK Mladá Boleslav (-1.5) · SK Sigma Olomouc0.9050.000$0.00−$58.70
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) · Warriors0.5300.000$0.00−$34.00
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$2.00
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) · SSC Napoli0.9730.000$0.00−$39.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:32S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.5799999768$9.00
09-30 10:43S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.59$2.95
09-30 10:40S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.59$2.95
08-09 21:31Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999988$54.95
07-01 16:57Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July?BUY0.9619999993$53.14
06-04 17:52Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in June?BUY0.955$50.00
04-17 20:27Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)BUY0.9819999998$10.99
04-17 20:13Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)BUY0.9612537537$24.61
04-12 16:30Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)BUY0.972094275$39.88
04-10 09:42Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5)BUY0.9129366575$25.85
04-06 21:46Spread: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-2.5)BUY0.95$24.60
04-06 21:25Spread: El Masry SC (-1.5)BUY0.9199999988$30.40
04-06 13:55Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)BUY0.95$3.99
04-06 13:45Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)BUY0.9473542339$19.92
04-02 20:04Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)BUY0.8699999805$16.92