reggaeton
0xcabf71e8699c183ad6ffa20a4ddc02855b74f0ac
- Realised P&L
- $-67.85
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $12.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No | 0.542 | 0.466 | $9.78 | −$1.60 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election? · No | 0.170 | 0.280 | $1.18 | +$0.47 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.205 | $0.86 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.210 | $0.67 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.76at 0.530Hawks vs. Suns
- +$8.62at 0.390Warriors vs. Magic
- +$8.50at 0.600Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
- +$5.22at 0.240Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?
- +$4.25at 0.480Blue Jackets vs. Kraken
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:26 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.02 |
| 10-01 22:44 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 10-01 15:45 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 09-30 03:41 | Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.77 |
| 09-28 16:16 | Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.47 |
| 09-20 01:18 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-18 09:32 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.78 |
| 09-17 10:39 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.18 |
| 09-14 21:41 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 09-06 00:30 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-05 23:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 23:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-03 15:57 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.81 |
| 09-02 18:12 | Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.68 |
| 09-01 12:53 | Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |