dahg4
0xca6be90e7200fd5452bd30b31cd7022cbdd82a2e
- Realised P&L
- $-7.00
- Volume
- $57.8k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $36.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.33at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$3.63at 0.007Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.30at 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.35at 0.597Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.24at 0.917Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 13:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:44 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:44 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 13:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:22 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.60 |
| 08-28 12:20 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 12:20 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 12:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 12:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 12:19 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:18 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.0769999348 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |