trumpusan
0xca528492d60ca4085bdef42b37f7bc0cab3d49e8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $92.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.712Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$588.56at 0.499Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$533.09at 0.853Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
- +$522.88at 0.742Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?
- +$466.60at 0.811Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 01:30 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.288 | $1.73 |
| 09-07 01:30 | Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-07 01:30 | Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-07 01:29 | Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 09-07 01:03 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.194 | $33.80 |
| 09-07 01:03 | Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $18.71 |
| 09-07 01:02 | Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $34.04 |
| 09-07 01:02 | Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $67.93 |
| 08-04 18:22 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.2218445061 | $111.85 |
| 05-19 03:21 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.4 | $300.00 |
| 05-17 22:27 | Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.0431997309 | $37.25 |
| 05-15 04:12 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6610972237 | $300.00 |
| 05-15 04:11 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5939480652 | $300.00 |
| 05-15 04:09 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6591654959 | $300.00 |
| 05-15 04:08 | Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | SELL | 0.1582047397 | $146.20 |