PolyBot

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Traders

trumpusan

0xca528492d60ca4085bdef42b37f7bc0cab3d49e8

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$92.0k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.675$613.52+$13.52
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8410.915$544.22+$44.22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4700.595$506.38+$106.38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.705$451.92$48.08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7470.655$438.65$61.35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5940.545$275.28$24.72
Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8871.000$178.08+$20.15
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2280.533$146.30+$83.70
Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7601.000$146.00+$34.96
Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6881.000$127.52+$39.81
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$100.00
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.5360.000$0.00$700.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 01:30Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.288$1.73
09-07 01:30Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$90.00
09-07 01:30Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$77.00
09-07 01:29Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$69.00
09-07 01:03Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.194$33.80
09-07 01:03Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$18.71
09-07 01:02Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$34.04
09-07 01:02Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$67.93
08-04 18:22Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.2218445061$111.85
05-19 03:21Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.4$300.00
05-17 22:27Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.0431997309$37.25
05-15 04:12Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6610972237$300.00
05-15 04:11Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5939480652$300.00
05-15 04:09Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6591654959$300.00
05-15 04:08Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.1582047397$146.20