armadanoob
0xca41cc2951ff7d9417562b447d87755dfe273af9
- Realised P&L
- $-797.21
- Volume
- $715.1k
- Markets traded
- 668
- Open portfolio
- $21.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded668
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.20at 0.158Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
- +$240.93at 0.414Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$209.91at 0.308Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$127.87at 0.610Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$107.02at 0.058Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:42 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0272672178 | $4.09 |
| 07-29 17:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2549999828 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 17:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2539999858 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 17:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 17:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2549998508 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:11 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 11:10 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:09 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 10:35 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $5.68 |
| 07-27 14:30 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 11:19 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.00 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $20.45 |
| 07-22 16:14 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:02 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1641852603 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 18:56 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1047551982 | $10.00 |