LXRlucky
0xc9c20d56a5feb02b0dccafa951604da4a96ec077
- Realised P&L
- $-89.57
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $229.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$274.59at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$81.88at 0.312Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$70.42at 0.464Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$58.50at 0.468Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$44.62at 0.120SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 07:11 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-05 07:11 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 09-05 07:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 09-05 07:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.397 | $19.85 |
| 08-28 18:28 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 28? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 08-28 18:26 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 28? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-28 06:21 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 08-23 08:12 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 08-20 15:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 20? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.00 |
| 08-20 15:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.2775 | $27.75 |
| 08-20 10:07 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $12.96 |
| 08-20 08:14 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59 | $47.20 |
| 08-17 16:03 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 08-17 14:31 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 17? | SELL | 0.133 | $13.30 |
| 08-16 18:56 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |