xTxx
0xc9c0f34349ea6cb716153dfa79c4f1f95c0c71da
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $977.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.419 | 0.575 | $453.93 | +$123.27 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.746 | 0.447 | $344.62 | −$230.96 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.009 | $88.10 | −$910.55 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No | 0.138 | 0.021 | $29.82 | −$161.63 |
| Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.004 | $26.60 | +$20.01 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.010 | $26.35 | −$101.69 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $7.79 | −$23.34 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$245.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.16at 0.941Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 16:02 | Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.38 |
| 06-25 02:14 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $30.00 |
| 06-23 20:59 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1 | $19.65 |
| 06-20 19:41 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.939 | $98.59 |
| 06-20 19:40 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.938 | $28.14 |
| 06-20 19:36 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9389166667 | $281.68 |
| 06-19 20:39 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.21 | $73.50 |
| 06-19 00:40 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.067 | $245.62 |
| 06-19 00:21 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.048599436 | $128.04 |
| 06-19 00:20 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.144 | $59.88 |
| 06-16 07:28 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.14 |
| 06-16 07:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7458511506 | $501.08 |
| 06-16 07:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.745 | $74.50 |
| 06-16 07:02 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1499893333 | $449.97 |
| 12-03 00:57 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0623553844 | $161.00 |