PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NeoSay10

0xc9751b5f25e1ecd88ec4630d19422b58d0562c68

Realised P&L
$21.1k
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
1,529
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,529
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9440.963$3.1k+$57.78
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9680.996$2.6k+$70.47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8900.935$1.9k+$90.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7890.957$1.8k+$318.25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8220.842$1.0k+$24.30
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.6920.870$202.21+$41.44
Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week? · No0.0600.860$85.95+$79.95
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.5320.860$30.20+$11.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 01:55Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.06$6.00
09-17 00:33Will Trump say "Crazy" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 00:32Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 00:32Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 00:24Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 00:24Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 00:17Will Trump say "Crazy" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.3$5.23
09-17 00:09Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$99.90
09-17 00:09Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.999$49.95
09-16 23:57Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" this week?BUY0.999$39.96
09-16 18:58Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.98$6.86
09-16 18:57Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.9854151977$232.00
09-16 18:36Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.99$342.42
09-10 21:22Will Oracle say "Security" during earnings call?BUY0.999$44.95
09-10 21:22Will Oracle say "Health" during earnings call?BUY0.999$44.95