PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NeoSay10

0xc9751b5f25e1ecd88ec4630d19422b58d0562c68

Realised P&L
$21.1k
Volume
$1.46M
Markets traded
1,511
Open portfolio
$19.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,511
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$6.3k+$2.3k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9440.956$3.0k+$35.54
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9680.976$2.5k+$20.05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8900.935$1.9k+$90.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7890.887$1.7k+$187.15
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$1.7k$2.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9501.000$1.6k+$78.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8220.842$1.0k+$23.69
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.6920.865$201.04+$40.28
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.5320.775$27.22+$8.52
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? · Yes0.5050.013$1.69$61.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 21:20Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?BUY0.52$19.24
07-16 17:50Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.988$49.40
07-16 17:40Will Leavitt say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.99$19.00
07-16 17:40Will Leavitt say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.9898343274$238.99
07-16 17:29Will Leavitt say "President" 20+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.9851026423$620.38
07-16 09:50Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?BUY0.7$24.39
07-15 22:55Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?BUY0.67$30.15
07-15 22:46Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.9874759064$43.03
07-15 22:46Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.9882647989$43.74
07-14 23:04Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?BUY0.6961987154$106.23
07-14 20:28Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.999$19.98
07-13 21:54Will anyone say "Diary" during Big Brother E2?BUY0.99$4.95
07-13 21:52Will anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E2?BUY0.98$19.60
07-13 17:26Will "Valorant" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?BUY0.99$54.45
07-13 17:26Will "Mejai" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?BUY0.99$54.45