PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Crayon

0xc95cd16e8c0edcc9090b13030d3e492163db5e0b

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$197.7k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$949.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · No0.9350.945$113.40+$1.24
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.930$111.61$0.02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8860.910$109.20+$2.86
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · No0.8790.890$106.80+$1.33
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.875$105.00+$5.41
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.7080.710$85.20+$0.24
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6620.635$76.20$3.26
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7670.770$61.60+$0.27
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.4610.445$53.40$1.88
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.3670.415$49.80+$5.76
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No0.2980.315$37.80+$1.98
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.1790.200$24.00+$2.56
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2800.225$15.75$3.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:53Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.9$36.00
08-02 21:51Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1683333333$10.10
08-02 21:46US strike on Colombia by December 31?SELL0.73$29.20
08-02 21:45Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.92$46.00
08-01 07:35US strike on Colombia by December 31?SELL0.76$15.21
08-01 07:30Iran coup attempt by December 31?SELL0.87$34.80
08-01 07:26Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$27.60
08-01 07:25Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.25$12.50
08-01 07:22Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.649$32.45
08-01 07:18Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.89$44.50
07-31 06:33Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.268648$13.43
07-31 06:32Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.91$45.50
07-30 03:20Iran coup attempt by December 31?SELL0.86$17.19
07-30 03:10Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.33$16.50
07-30 03:08Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.65$32.50