YvetteRichardson7802
0xc94ae78cc9a18d2f92ac753bb0d7904c4bacac22
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $257.0k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $703.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.925 | $699.30 | +$238.14 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.575 | $2.30 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.405 | $1.22 | −$0.17 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.012 | $0.42 | −$17.43 |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.065 | $0.32 | −$0.78 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.004 | $0.28 | −$17.66 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.172Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$500.31at 0.507Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
- +$271.68at 0.680Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$259.20at 0.360Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
- +$218.40at 0.320Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 10:07 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $269.64 |
| 04-27 08:19 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $186.56 |
| 04-27 08:18 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 04-24 04:49 | Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies | BUY | 0.499 | $251.00 |
| 04-23 09:28 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $282.48 |
| 04-23 09:20 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $461.16 |
| 04-12 14:49 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 04-12 14:47 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.96 |
| 04-12 11:01 | Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.68 | $577.32 |
| 04-12 10:12 | Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $40.48 |
| 04-12 10:11 | Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $45.54 |
| 04-12 10:10 | Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $49.68 |
| 04-12 09:38 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $354.96 |
| 04-12 09:37 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $658.08 |
| 04-12 09:08 | Will BP be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $181.44 |