Bg1211Aesti
0xc9345d97ea672e1d137f9425222c12ba02859887
- Realised P&L
- $-28.97
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $141.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.44at 0.791Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.592US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.497Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?
- +$2.01at 0.891Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:01 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 21:30 | OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:29 | Google announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:44 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1709999771 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:32 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.141 | $0.97 |
| 09-18 14:36 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1449999942 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:07 | Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:06 | Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 14:06 | Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.29 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:25 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:18 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 22:13 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999952 | $9.50 |