IamUnderTheWater
0xc9284d965e99b9876a8de90945bec1381c963493
- Realised P&L
- $127.15
- Volume
- $133.2k
- Markets traded
- 680
- Open portfolio
- $69.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded680
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.21at 0.109Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$213.65at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$165.88at 0.062Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$163.72at 0.537Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
- +$146.53at 0.790Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 08:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.56 |
| 09-26 08:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.051 | $0.51 |
| 09-26 08:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.051 | $2.55 |
| 09-26 08:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0518245614 | $2.95 |
| 09-26 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 08:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 07:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 05:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 26? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 05:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 05:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 16:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $292.27 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $35.29 |
| 09-25 07:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799999839 | $50.00 |