IamUnderTheWater
0xc9284d965e99b9876a8de90945bec1381c963493
- Realised P&L
- $164.23
- Volume
- $122.1k
- Markets traded
- 603
- Open portfolio
- $24.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded603
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.99at 0.032Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$166.38at 0.530Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
- +$165.88at 0.062Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$146.53at 0.790Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?
- +$144.92at 0.929Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:07 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:39 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2369999685 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 09:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0198019802 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:21 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0407933011 | $3.00 |