4E770
0xc9176e4b11bfc74de912aaacfc3f0e8be39cbfec
- Realised P&L
- $109.67
- Volume
- $95.0k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $112.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.33at 0.206Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.87at 0.540Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$15.38at 0.422Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.78at 0.507Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.25at 0.325Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 11-01 07:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 11-01 07:23 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 08-19 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 08-19 08:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 08-19 08:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-05 09:55 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.77 |
| 06-05 09:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 06-05 09:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.93 |
| 06-05 09:53 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.968 | $10.65 |
| 06-05 09:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $11.75 |
| 06-05 09:53 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.926 | $14.92 |
| 06-05 09:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |