PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4E770

0xc9176e4b11bfc74de912aaacfc3f0e8be39cbfec

Realised P&L
$109.67
Volume
$95.0k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$112.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9970.997$32.88−$0.02
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.590$23.60−$0.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9960.995$21.89−$0.02
Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.645$19.35+$1.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? · No0.9900.980$14.69−$0.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$9.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$13.42
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$1.05
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.40
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:25Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.996$21.91
11-01 07:25Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.997$32.90
11-01 07:24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?BUY0.99$14.85
11-01 07:24Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6$24.00
11-01 07:23Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6$18.00
08-19 08:33Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$14.70
08-19 08:32Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$9.30
08-19 08:31Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
06-05 09:55Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June?BUY0.993$32.77
06-05 09:55Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$11.60
06-05 09:55Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?BUY0.999$65.93
06-05 09:53Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.968$10.65
06-05 09:53Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$11.75
06-05 09:53Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.926$14.92
06-05 09:53Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$14.97