0xc90c46c577cf77ef8176e5828e3885f0020094e9
0xc90c46c577cf77ef8176e5828e3885f0020094e9
- Realised P&L
- $-8.05
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $9.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.580 | 0.986 | $1.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? · No | 0.790 | 0.930 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.705 | $1.18 | +$0.17 |
| Exact Score: Deportes Magallanes 0 - 1 San Luis de Quillota? · Yes | 0.894 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Deportes Magallanes vs. San Luis de Quillota end in a draw? · No | 0.894 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.945 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.771 | 0.724 | $0.87 | −$0.06 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.680 | 0.445 | $0.57 | −$0.30 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.08at 0.557National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
- +$1.82at 0.361Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23?
- +$1.10at 0.482Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?
- +$0.70at 0.572Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
- +$0.53at 0.590US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:49 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $0.98 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999694 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.706 | $0.06 |
| 10-29 02:35 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.06 |
| 10-27 14:18 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.01 |
| 10-25 12:59 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.01 |
| 10-17 22:45 | Exact Score: Deportes Magallanes 0 - 1 San Luis de Quillota? | BUY | 0.8939999964 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:44 | Will Deportes Magallanes vs. San Luis de Quillota end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8939999964 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:47 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:31 | Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:14 | Spread: Falcons (-14.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:15 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.11 |
| 09-22 20:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.22 |