liionka
0xc8cda5dd0f5ba3adeb2d7c42e0961df0414cdc92
- Realised P&L
- $8.41
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $197.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.975 | $55.11 | +$0.82 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.984 | $54.19 | +$0.11 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.959 | $53.21 | +$1.05 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.987 | $34.53 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.978Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$1.05at 0.954Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
- +$1.00at 0.968Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.90at 0.940Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
- +$0.80at 0.968Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 06:01 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |