PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

btacc

0xc8caa4b9d7b8d61c1eead1f6d7130c74f8e2960b

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
1,668
Open portfolio
$947.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,668
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.994$496.75+$41.75
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9500.995$124.31+$5.56
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · No0.8900.875$109.36$1.87
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8010.935$93.50+$13.36
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2400.705$70.50+$46.50
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.204$21.88$36.97
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.065$6.50$40.50
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.963$6.02+$4.14
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.059$5.85$3.15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0160.007$5.25$5.95
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.2600.085$4.25$8.75
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · No0.1800.190$2.38+$0.13
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.044$0.56$1.44
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$7.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 10:21Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
06-19 10:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.21$10.50
06-19 10:18Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.33$9.90
06-16 18:07Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-16 18:01Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-16 18:01Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
06-16 18:01Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
06-16 18:01Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-16 18:00Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
06-16 18:00Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-16 18:00Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.289999964$5.00
06-16 17:59Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
06-16 17:56Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY0.081999986$5.00
06-16 17:55Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-16 17:55Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY0.2199999727$5.00