PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goodshape

0xc893806c2dbabd97f4fbe6ed271fb867f666b7b0

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$166.2k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$829.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2380.175$588.00−$210.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1390.021$240.20−$1.3k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.029$1.25−$4.44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.018$0.11−$2.83
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.97
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$35.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$19.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$36.07
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$165.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$119.91
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes0.9670.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 10? · No0.0470.000$0.00−$4.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$161.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 12:46Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$1.2k
05-16 12:26Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$260.12
03-09 22:51Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.991$831.45
02-28 14:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.962$288.60
02-25 06:33Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.012$1.52
02-25 06:33Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.01286348$12.86
02-01 15:39Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.3500796994$197.97
01-31 01:44Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?BUY0.408$122.40
01-31 01:19Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?BUY0.409$81.80
01-30 01:59Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.85$55.67
01-30 01:58Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.85$106.25
01-29 15:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?BUY0.68239392$85.30
01-29 00:33Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of February?BUY0.968$48.40
01-29 00:33Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of February?BUY0.979$48.95
01-29 00:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?SELL0.7137734783$16.42