goodshape
0xc893806c2dbabd97f4fbe6ed271fb867f666b7b0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $166.2k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $829.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$919.49at 0.255Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
- +$138.23at 0.719Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$103.67at 0.018Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$101.86at 0.896Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$49.11at 0.249Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 12:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.2k |
| 05-16 12:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $260.12 |
| 03-09 22:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $831.45 |
| 02-28 14:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.962 | $288.60 |
| 02-25 06:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.52 |
| 02-25 06:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01286348 | $12.86 |
| 02-01 15:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.3500796994 | $197.97 |
| 01-31 01:44 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | BUY | 0.408 | $122.40 |
| 01-31 01:19 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | BUY | 0.409 | $81.80 |
| 01-30 01:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.85 | $55.67 |
| 01-30 01:58 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.85 | $106.25 |
| 01-29 15:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | BUY | 0.68239392 | $85.30 |
| 01-29 00:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of February? | BUY | 0.968 | $48.40 |
| 01-29 00:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of February? | BUY | 0.979 | $48.95 |
| 01-29 00:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | SELL | 0.7137734783 | $16.42 |