0xC88f26fD324eAfd91f765e143A25B4721C84b13A-1778764621007
0xc88f26fd324eafd91f765e143a25b4721c84b13a
- Realised P&L
- $-41.47
- Volume
- $711.83
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $20.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.275 | $9.79 | +$0.89 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.338 | 0.202 | $5.98 | −$4.02 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.170 | $2.42 | +$0.71 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.040 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $0.93 | −$0.93 |
| Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:26 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.90 |
| 09-14 11:25 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.71 |
| 09-14 11:24 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 15:38 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38999998 | $8.00 |
| 07-31 15:31 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.86 |
| 06-15 10:54 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1079999953 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 10:45 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.337999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 23:13 | Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |