PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc883df1cfa4dacd89aef4efcc328219b1c914ea1

Realised P&L
$164.75
Volume
$70.7k
Markets traded
3,919
Open portfolio
$50.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,919
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? · Yes0.9300.959$18.21+$0.54
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5700.585$11.70+$0.30
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? · No0.6830.555$11.10$2.57
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.6880.870$8.69+$1.82
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.1170.021$1.26$5.74
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$2.35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00$2.65
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00$3.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$6.64
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? · No0.8800.000$0.00$34.37
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$2.60
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$1.71
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 16:45Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.78$36.00
09-07 15:27Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?BUY0.7$31.44
09-03 06:361st Half Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)BUY0.84$5.02
09-01 14:36Will US Cremonese win on 2026-09-01?BUY0.77$36.56
09-01 12:26Colorado vs. Georgia TechBUY0.68$14.99
09-01 06:36Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.66$15.00
08-31 20:39Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.786$11.92
08-30 22:50Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.611$7.03
08-30 21:22Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.812$9.34
08-30 18:56Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)SELL0.79$9.40
08-30 15:24Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?SELL0.68$11.27
08-30 13:37Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.65$10.00
08-30 12:51Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)BUY0.84$10.00
08-30 12:08Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?SELL0.67$8.70
08-30 10:26Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-30?SELL0.74$8.81